For a brief moment two years ago, markets around the world were trading at incredible prices. Bargains were abundant and everywhere. Fast forward to the present and prices are trading back to normal levels where earnings and corporate expansion have become the dominant drivers of growth, as opposed to just cheap prices.
Fortunately for us, Canada has been one of the best performing markets in the world, and foreigners have been scooping up our assets and currency at a fast pace. Consequently, Canadian assets have become more fairly valued, while our currency has seen its value rise back to par with the US dollar. This is an extremely generous exchange rate for us Canadians, given that based on equal prices, US goods and assets now cost between 10-15% less. We call that ‘purchasing power parity’, and it implies that foreigner’s love of our Loonie has made it roughly 10% overvalued.
This presents an opportunity for Canadians as we can use our strong purchasing power to acquire and capitalize on good bargains around the world. On top of that, we’re finding that the best opportunities from a value standpoint are from companies that are based in Asia, Europe, and the US. Relative to Canada, prices for these companies are anywhere between 10-20% cheaper overall.
When you consider these assets are priced in foreign currencies, the bargain becomes even more apparent with our current strong purchasing power. From an opportunistic perspective, this appears to be a good time to look at investing in international assets priced in foreign currencies. A similar situation was present during most of the 90’s, when foreign currency priced global equities outperformed Canadian equities.
While it is true that the Canadian dollar can stay at lofty levels for some time, or that Canadian equities can continue to outperform global equities, this does not change the fact that investing globally is a better value proposition today for Canadians then it was 10 years ago.
History has shown that some of the best returns come from focusing on out of favor investments that are cheaper on a relative and absolute basis. Some of the best bargains and potential relative returns are increasingly presenting themselves outside our backyard, where our money is strong and value is more abundant.
The world is on sale, even more so for us Canadians.
Vancouver based, Van Arbor Asset Management Ltd. is a division of ZLC Private Investment Management and ZLC Financial Group. Van Arbor’s core philosophy is to hold a focused portfolio of the best value based opportunities in the market, rather than mirroring the respective indices. This includes staying away from weaker sectors, while focusing on the few selective opportunities that have excellent growth potential and are trading at bargain prices. A focus on capital preservation alongside capital appreciation is a cornerstone of their strategy.
Van Arbor Asset Management Ltd. offers investors two unique active equity funds. The Van Arbor Canadian Advantage Fund, the number one Canadian equity fund in Canada over the last five year period; and the Van Arbor World Advantage Fund, one of the top 50 best performing global equity funds in Canada last year. (Source: Globefund, as at December 1, 2010)
Note: Van Arbor funds are offered through ZLC Private Investment Management